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Muni Finance Observer: July 2008

Tuesday, July 15, 2008

Analysis of the Indictment

The indictment filed against Cioffi and Tannin appears to be a further step in the ongoing effort on the part of employees of the Department of Justice to thoroughly punish those whose businesses fail resulting in the loss of investor funds. Despite the opinions of all the "experts" on CNBC or the members of the press or any other members of the blogging community, what the government is attempting to accomplish here is not in the best interests of either the investing community, business owners or investment advisors.

A case can be made that if the government should be successful in this prosecution, the result will be a further deterioration of the financial markets...but that is for another day.

What the government is trying to do is pin the loss of  "...approximately $1.4 billion" on the two Bear Stearns hedge fund managers. However, the indictment fails to draw the necessary lines to connect the dots.

Count one of the indictment alleges violations of the securities laws, specifically 15 USC Sections 78j(b) and 78ff. It also alleges violations of 18 USC Sec. 1341 for wire fraud.

First the easy one...for there to be a violation of wire fraud, Cioffi and Tannin must "...knowingly and intentionally devise  a scheme and artifice to defraud...." Therefore there must have been a scheme. [Wire fraud requires the existence of a "scheme" in order for there to be wire fraud.]

So now the government must prove that the two actors created a "scheme or device" designed to take money from investors. In other words, the government "...must prove (1) a material misrepresentation or omission by the defendant; (2) scienter; (3) a connection between the misrepresentation or omission and the purchase or sale of a security; (4) reliance upon the misrepresentation or omission; (5) economic loss; and (6) loss causation."

And what does the government offer as violations?

1. Cioffi said to a Bear Stearns broker on 3/3/2007 that the funds represented an awesome opportunity.

2. Tannin said on 3/21/2007 he was going to invest more.

3. Cioffi and Tannin on 4/25/2007 was on a conference call and did not tell everyone on the call that the market and the funds were not in good shape.

4. Tannin told a counter-party he expected no large redemptions on 5/3/2007

5. In May of 2007, Cioffi told a Bear broker he had $5.5 million invested in the funds.

 

This indictment is a sham. The government has failed to even get close to meeting its burden of alleging a crime.

It is obvious the government must go back to the drawing boards and try to produce an indictment that alleges that these two men caused the investors in the two funds to lose money. Without causation, this indictment must be dismissed.

More later....

Sunday, July 6, 2008

What Cioffi and Tannin are Facing

In Cioffi and Tannin’s indictment, at paragraph 55, the government states “Eventually, investors were told that the Funds had both lost 100% of their respective values, resulting in a total investor loss of approximately $1.4 billion."

So what penalty are these two men facing? That answer is contained in the United States Sentencing Guidelines. Those guidelines contain the convoluted method of assigning points to the dollars lost and certain surrounding events. A full version of the Fraud section of the Sentencing Guidelines are here. This is a copy of the table for crimes of “Basic Economic Offenses” (Non applicable sections have been deleted):

1. THEFT, EMBEZZLEMENT, RECEIPT OF STOLEN PROPERTY, PROPERTY DESTRUCTION, AND OFFENSES INVOLVING FRAUD OR DECEIT
§2B1.1. Larceny, Embezzlement, and Other Forms of Theft; Offenses Involving Stolen Property; Property Damage or Destruction; Fraud and Deceit; Forgery; Offenses Involving Altered or Counterfeit Instruments Other than Counterfeit Bearer Obligations of the United States

(a) Base Offense Level:

(2) 6, otherwise.

(b) Specific Offense Characteristics


Loss(Apply the Greatest) Increase in Level
(A) $5,000 or less no increase
(B) More than $5,000 add 2
(C) More than $10,000 add 4
(D) More than $30,000 add 6
(E) More than $70,000 add 8
(F) More than $120,000 add 10
(G) More than $200,000 add 12
(H) More than $400,000 add 14
(I) More than $1,000,000 add 16
(J) More than $2,500,000 add 18
(K) More than $7,000,000 add 20
(L) More than $20,000,000 add 22
(M) More than $50,000,000 add 24
(N) More than $100,000,000 add 26
(O) More than $200,000,000 add 28
(P) More than $400,000,000 add 30

(2) (Apply the greatest) If the offense—

(A) (i) involved 10 or more victims; or (ii) was committed through mass-marketing, increase by 2 levels;

(B) involved 50 or more victims, increase by 4 levels; or

(C) involved 250 or more victims, increase by 6 levels.

(13) (Apply the greater) If—

(A) the defendant derived more than $1,000,000 in gross receipts from one or more financial institutions as a result of the offense, increase by 2 levels; or

(B) the offense (i) substantially jeopardized the safety and soundness of a financial institution; (ii) substantially endangered the solvency or financial security of an organization that, at any time during the offense, (I) was a publicly traded company; or (II) had 1,000 or more employees; or (iii) substantially endangered the solvency or financial security of 100 or more victims, increase by 4 levels.

(C) The cumulative adjustments from application of both subsections (b)(2) and (b)(13)(B) shall not exceed 8 levels, except as provided in subdivision (D).

(D) If the resulting offense level determined under subdivision (A) or (B) is less than level 24, increase to level 24.

(15) If the offense involved—

(A) a violation of securities law and, at the time of the offense, the defendant was (i) an officer or a director of a publicly traded company; (ii) a registered broker or dealer, or a person associated with a broker or dealer; or (iii) an investment adviser, or a person associated with an investment adviser; or

(B) a violation of commodities law and, at the time of the offense, the defendant was (i) an officer or a director of a futures commission merchant or an introducing broker; (ii) a commodities trading advisor; or (iii) a commodity pool operator,

increase by 4 levels.

To determine the number of levels, it is just an addition problem:

Basic Offense 6

Total Loss exceeds $400 million 30

Assume less than 50 “victims” 4

Safety of institutions 4

Violation of securities laws 4

Grand Total 48

With that total of 48 levels, a judge then goes to the “Sentencing Table” to determine the sentence. The full version is here. This is an excerpt.

Offense Level Months
19 30-37
20 33-41
21 37-46


22 41-51
23 46-57
24 51-63


25 57-71
26 63-78
27 70-87


28 78-97
29 87-108
30 97-121


31 108-135
32 121-151
33 135-168


34 151-188
35 168-210
36 188-235


37 210-262
38 235-293
39 262-327


40 292-365
41 324-405
42 360-life


43 life


The table above starts at 19 for simplicity in addition to which it is inconceivable that with the bloodlust created by the press and fostered by the government a sentence less than level 19 could be imposed. As you can see, the table only goes to a level 43 which mandates a life sentence.

These men are looking at life in prison! And they have not even been accused with causing any loss! In future posts, I will begin dissecting the indictment, not from a legal viewpoint, but from the viewpoint of one who has already gone through the process.